Cecimo announces an optimistic forecast for 2018

Written by: Filip Geerts

CECIMO General Director

 

During its General Assembly in Barcelona, Cecimo reported that its machine tool production is likely to see an 8% gain in 2018. The turnover of Cecimo manufacturers should reach €27.8 billion, continuing its extraordinary growth for the second year in a row and increasing our global market share from 33% to 34%. Nevertheless, weak global trade might affect foreign demand and slow down European machine tool market growth. On the policy side, the General Assembly debated the contribution of the machine tool sector to the circular economy and its prominent role in the shift towards sustainable manufacturing. The General Assembly discussed the European Commission’s ambitious targets for CO2 emission standards, calling for an evidenced based and well-balanced EU Regulation which takes into account the technological and economic challenges.

Economic situation and outlook

Industrial growth in 2017 was its highest rate in the last three years, supported by robust global trade. As growth reached its peak, industrial activity also began to slow down. We expect a slowdown of industrial growth from 3.6% in 2018 to 3.2% in 2019. Solid economic fundamentals and capacity
constraints will support further growth. Although the mood in Europe and US has recovered, we do not expect any future improvement in the economic sentiment. Leading indicators also point to an eventual slow down, but not in the US.
Estimates for 2018 suggest an 8% increase in Cecimo production, slightly steeper than the 7% registered last year. We are expecting to reach a production volume of €27.8 billion. Global MT production should grow at a slower rate, by approximatively 3.6% and reach €81.9 billion. The global output of MT purchasing industries should rise by 5% this year, but decelerate to 3.1% in 2019. Cecimo trade looks good for 2018. US tariffs were directed over the Pacific rather than the Atlantic when it comes to our sector. In the first semester, we saw a 10% increase in exports of Cecimo-based companies. Estimates suggest that our export volume will reach €21.3 billion (6.7% higher than in 2017). Based on 2018 data, the main destination
markets for our machines will remain: China (27% of extra- Cecimo exports), the US (18%), Poland (8%) and Mexico (5%). Based on internal figures, we
expect Cecimo machine tool consumption to rise to €18.2 billion in 2018, which is 10.6% higher than last year. Our colleagues from Oxford Economics
are slightly more optimistic and predict a 13.9% increase in 2018 and 4.8% in 2019 for Cecimo. World consumption is expected to increase by 5.2% in 2018 and 3.8% in 2019. Although trade disputes do not directly affect the machine tool sector, they impact business confidence and economic sentiment. Mr Marcus Burton, the Chairman of the Economic Committee, asserts that “we need a strong global trade and investment impetus to support foreign demand and further growth for the European manufacturing sector. That implies having a cooperative attitude on a Brexit deal, transatlantic tariff disputes and fiscal stimuli from the national governments”.

Contribution of the machine tool sector to the circular economy

The shift towards a circular economy calls for a prominent role for manufacturing. Machine tools are at the core of manufacturing and therefore they also have a role to play in the shift towards a more sustainable sector. In this context, Cecimo delegates discussed how the sector is already contributing to the circular economy through different actions aiming at improving the performance of its products, developing new, cleaner technologies and embedding sustainability principles into everyday operations. “Maintaining, refurbishing, continuous improvement and upgrading
and recycling are already common practices in the sector” said Juha Mäkitalo, Chairman of the Cecimo Technical Committee. “We should not be complacent, though. We need to continue building on the good work done by the sector to meet increasing demands for more energy and resource-efficient products”, he added. Cecimo is currently preparing a report on the contribution of the machine tool sector to the circular economy – including recommendations for policymakers and industry – to be published in early 2019. One of the key recommendations for policymakers, which is especially relevant to the current discussion on the new European research programme, is to support the development of new enabling technologies and to facilitate the access to research and development funds for manufacturing (and particularly SMEs). Investing in R&D is essential to retain the competitiveness of machine tool companies and to develop new, cleaner and more efficient technologies. It is important to promote the development of new technologies such as Additive Manufacturing, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, which can enable the transition to a more circular economy. Among the main recommendations to the machine tool sector itself is the need to showcase best practices from the circular economy and real-life success stories from the sector. Included is also the need to work more closely with customers and suppliers to improve product efficiency, remove waste from the supply chain and create new and more circular business models and products which create added value for customers.

Creating the right framework conditions for investment in cleaner cars and innovation

The transition to low-emission transport has been on the top of the EU political Agenda for some time, with the EU Institutions setting ambitious targets for CO2 emission standards for new passenger cars and light commercial vehicles. Cecimo organised a panel debate at its General Assembly
to discuss how to achieve the transition to low-emission transport without negatively impacting Europe’s mobility and competitiveness. Addressing the panel, Member of the European Parliament Francesc Gambús explained that “We cannot make steps forward to sustainable growth if we do not balance our environmental, social and economic aspects in every policy”. “We need to guarantee neutrality in technology to achieve the targets of reduction set globally in our environmental legislation”. Roberto Vavassori, President of the European Association of Automotive Suppliers (CLEPA) stated: “It is imperative to maintain European leadership in our mobility industry at a worldwide level, thanks to technology neutrality and competitive EU regulation”. He added “When discussing the future emission standards, fact-based assessment of the current status and future potential is essential; taking into account environmental, social and economic priorities”. Also contributing to the panel, Cecimo President Dr Roland Feichtl said: “Political decisions in favour or against specific technologies have a detrimental impact on the EU’s competitive position and the prosperity of our society. Our sector can contribute to emission reductions with machine tools to produce conventional powertrains and electric cars. Nevertheless, we should be cautious when making decisions that entail geopolitical risks and could affect our competitiveness in relation to other areas of the world such as China and the US” stated Dr Roland Feichtl, Cecimo’s President. Filip Geerts, Cecimo Director General called for “a gradual shift
to low-carbon mobility. To this end, EU Regulation needs to stimulate innovation and allow proper lead time for industry to bring technological improvements in the internal combustion engine”.

Positive results for EuroBLECH 2018

Written by: Melanie Kaufmann

EuroBLECH press office.

 

Digitalisation sets the tone at the world’s leading exhibition for the sheet metal working industry EuroBLECH 2018, ended last week after four successful show days has ended up with 56,301 visitors from around the world which came to Hanover to get an overview of the latest innovations
and digital technologies for sheet metal working and to invest in new manufacturing machinery. A total of 1,507 companies from 40 countries exhibited at this year’s show. “There was a great atmosphere at the show, with an excellent mood on the exhibitor side as well as the visitor side. Many
exhibitors presented themselves this year with even more impressive stands. They showcased an enormous variety of new machinery and innovative solutions, and many of these were, once again, demonstrated live at the exhibition stands”, says Evelyn Warwick, EuroBLECH Exhibition Director. “There was a noticeable technological advancement within the last two years. Many exhibitors demonstrated how well the industry is prepared for
digitalisation and how these new technologies can be used within a manufacturing environment”, continues Evelyn Warwick. Compared to the previous exhibition, EuroBLECH 2018 attracted a consistently high visitor number across the four show days from Tuesday to Friday. Therefore, EuroBLECH 2018 ends with a record floor space of 89,875 net square metres and a significant visitor numbers, which of course is also due to the booming industry. A total of 58% of exhibitors came from outside Germany at this year’s show. This represents a further increase in international attendance by 4%. The preliminary results of the exhibition survey show that 37% of visitors came to EuroBLECH from outside Germany, resulting once again in good international visitor attendance. Major visitor countries, next to Germany, included Italy, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Spain, Turkey, India, Great Britain, Poland, Austria and Belgium. A great majority of the visitors came from the industry (73%), followed by visitors from workshops,
trade and services. The most important sectors visitorsbelonged to include engineering, sheet metal & products, steel and aluminium construction,
the automotive industry and its suppliers, electrical engineering, iron and steel production as well as rolling mills and heating, ventilation and air conditioning technology. With 97% the percentage of trade visitors was again very high. Besides the high rate of international visitors, the exhibition could, once again, register a high percentage of visitors from the top management with decision-making and buying capacity. The
percentage of visitors involved in decision-making was almost consistent at 79%. The preliminary results of the exhibition survey show that both exhibitors and visitors at this year’s EuroBLECH were highly satisfied. The visitors praised the comprehensiveness and international range of the products on display as well as the quality of the exhibition stands and the many live demonstrations of digital processes. The exhibitors praised the
qualified and international audience with its high percentage of decision-makers. The exhibitors also stated that they had made a large number
of new business contacts. More than 70% of all exhibitors stated on-site that they intended to exhibit again at the next EuroBLECH in 2020, which will
take place from 27 – 30 October 2020 at the Hanover Exhibition Grounds in Germany.

Winners of the EuroBLECH 2018 Online Competition

Once again, EuroBLECH put innovative technologies and a professional audience in the focus with this year’s EuroBLECH Online Competition. “Step into the digital reality” was the theme of the awards and the winners were chosen online by the sheet metal working community. The winners
were officially awarded with a trophy on the second day of the show. TRUMPF Werkzeugmaschinen GmbH + Co. KG won the award in the category “Digital Transformation” for their indoor localisation system Track&Trace. It is based on Ultra Wide Band Technology (UWB) and can determine
the unambiguous position of markers in real time with the help of satellites. In the category “Best Start-Up”, Fractory Solutions OÜ from Estonia received the award for the development of their on-demand sheet metal manufacturing platform Fractory. co which streamlines the outsourcing process. Customers can get instant quotes and lead times by uploading a CAD drawing which makes the ordering process ten times faster and more economical. Q-Fin Quality Finishing received the award in the category “E-Mobility”. They presented their “F200 XL” which was designed for the deburring, grinding and edge rounding of very small, light sheet metal parts.

EuroBLECH in the world

In addition to EuroBLECH, Mack Brooks Exhibitions is organising a range of sheet metal working exhibitions in different markets: the next BLECH India will take place from 25 – 27 April 2019 in Mumbai. AsiaBLECH 2019 will be held in Chengdu City from 20 – 22 November 2019. The first BLECH France is taking place from 21 – 23 January 2020 in Paris, France.

UCIMU: 2018 record year for the Italian machine tool industry. Expected stability for 2019

2018 was the year of records for the Italian machine tool, robot and automation industry, which recorded double-digit increases for all economic indicators. The 2019 will instead be characterized by substantial stability. This is a summary of what was illustrated by Massimo Carboniero, president of Ucimu-Sistemi per produrre, the association of Italian machine tool manufacturers, robots and automation, during the usual press conference at the end of the year. As emerges from the preliminary figures prepared by the Ucimu-Sistemi per produrre Business Studies & Culture Center, in 2018,
production grew to 6,900 million euros, marking an increase of 13.4% compared to the previous year. This is the fifth consecutive year of growth and, in absolute terms, the new record for the Italian industry in the sector. The result was determined both by the excellent performance of deliveries by Italian manufacturers on the domestic market, which grew by 21.1%, to 3,270 million euros, and by the positive trend in exports, which grew by 7.2% to 3,630 million euros. According to the Ucimu elaboration on the ISTAT data, in the first eight months of the year (last survey available), the main countries of destination of the sector made in Italy were: Germany 246 million euros (+ 11.6%); China 237 million euros (+ 7.1%); United States 223 million euros (+9.5%); Poland 143 million euros (+ 49.8%) and France 135 million euros (-4.6%). By virtue of these increases, Italy has strengthened its role on the international scene where it has distinguished itself not only for the expertise expressed by the industry, measured by production and export data, but also for the liveliness of demand sustained and stimulated by measures for competitiveness such as super and hyper-depreciation included in the Industry / Business 4.0 programs. In particular, in 2018, consumption of machine tools, robots and automation in Italy rose by 25.9%
to 5,620 million euros. The willingness to invest in new technology, including digital, by Italian users has led manufacturers to direct their attention to the domestic market, as evidenced by the reduction in the export-to-production ratio, from 55.6% in 2017 to 52,6% of 2018. In an unfavorable general climate, in 2019, the Italian industry in the sector, should however confirm the performance of 2018, benefiting from the positive trend of deliveries on foreign markets, expected to increase. The internal market is clearly slowing down, whose growth trend seems to have lost the momentum we have become accustomed to over the past few years. Production will increase to 7,040 million (+ 2%) driven by exports which, expected to grow by 5%, will amount to 3,810 million euros. Consumption, that is to say the demand from Italian users, will stop at 5,630 million euros (+ 0.2%). The stationary nature of the internal market will have repercussions on both deliveries of Italian manufacturers that will fall to 3,230 million euros (-1.2%) and on imports that will stand at 2,400 million euros (+ 2.1%). The production export figure will increase by one percentage point to 54.1%.